Skip to content

Tuesday, Feb 9th 2010


September 8th Evening: The Recession Diaries

house.JPGIt seems that nationalisation is all the rage these days. The takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, if it does not put paid to the notion that housing finance is too important to be left to the private sector, at least suggests that it needs that proverbial ‘heavy hand’ of the state. And thank god - were Fannie and Freddie allowed to go under it would be baby-crunching time in markets throughout the world. Of course, it was a reluctant take-over, just as reluctant as the take-over of Northern Rock, and the Bush Government did everything it could to downplay the announcement of this momentous step. But not even announcing it on a Sunday, on the same day as the kick-off of the American football season, can bury this news.In our little realm, the Government has taken a much different and almost unique step: it has blamed the fortunes of the housing market on the people. Apparently the whole mess is our collective fault. This strategy could be rolled out on a number of fronts: Minister Hanafin could march up and down dole queues, barracking the unemployed - ‘It’s your fault’. Minister Coughlan could write to every enterprise that closes down - ‘You’ve just been liquidated? It’s your fault’. Master Batt O’Keefe could storm into those over-crowded classrooms in debt-ridden schools that use abacuses instead of computers and point the all-accusing finger to children: ‘It’s your bloody fault’. Okay, a risky strategy - but you gotta admit: it has chutzpah.

The fact is no political party stood up the middle of the feeding-frenzy in the property market, and there is little bold vision coming out now. In one sense, it’s difficult to come up with a set of policies because once you start tinkering with one part of the market, something else pops up - so inextricably intertwined are property, housing, banking, finance, equities, employment and economic growth. You have to go back to first principles, and that means working your way back through a minefield. But let’s try.

First,in the short-term, though the Left is uncomfortable about letting the market do its thing, that’s exactly what has to happen now. Property prices should be allowed to fall. Any attempts to stimulate new-house build would be perverse given the level of unsold housing stock (until this stock is largely sold off there’s little hope of future sustainable new-build), and the level of construction activity must decline as a proportion of general economic activity - and that means fewer building workers.

This is not a counsel of despair. The state can cushion the decline in construction employment by (a) increasing social housing starts, (b) redirecting employment into eco-retrofitting, (c) front-loading capital investment, and (d) launching a coherent and sustained re-training programme. None of these options are without their problems:

  • Social housing starts require financing and land, and these are not in ready supply
  • The green-collarisation of sections of the construction sector requires a long-term guarantee of a market (as well as retraining and readily sourced materials)
  • Capital investment has a limited labour content - a lot of spend for relatively little job-creation
  • Retraining, which is everyone’s mantra, comes up against hard demographics - as SIPTU’s Marie Sherlock has pointed out

So just to cushion the fall in construction unemployment - to prevent it from turning it into a crash - is going to be quite a feat in and of itself. Is this Government up to even this task? Your call.

But before the property and new-build markets bottom out, we have to move quickly to put housing on a sustainable footing. And this calls for more fundamental reforms:

First, a house should be seen, and treated, as an item of consumption. We buy a house to live in. As such, it should not be subject to onerous taxation (which is why a ‘house property’ tax can be quite inequitable). However, when a house is used as a capital asset, to make money on, it should be taxed and taxed hard: levies on second-homes (except those that are rented and listed on the Tenancy Register) and on house market-values above €1 million; abolish the exemption of the sale of principal residences from the Capital Gains Tax, and abolish mortgage interest abd relief (but see below before you freak out).

Second, a major reform of the rental sector to turn it into a viable long or medium-term living option. Threshold has published a useful proposal of how to Europeanise the rental sector but their reliance on private investment may be a little wishful. To kick start this, the state should establish a public enterprise which would act as a ‘landlord’ of private rental units - either through new-build or buying out current rental properties. This would require a major programme of investment into what are in large part sub-standard properties inappropriate to family life.

This would be augmented by a new Housing Benefit: a universal payment for first-time house buyers, private and public tenants. This would replace the current tax reliefs and would be subject to taxation, to make it progressive. This would put subsidies to house-purchase and rent on an equal footing.

Third, a reorganisation of the construction sector itself, weeding out ‘the cowboys’ and dubious sub-contractors. A transparent and enforced register of building companies and contractors should be established to clean up the sector. The beneficiaries would be good building companies and contractors - those which pay the going rate, observe good labour relations, pay into the pension fund, etc. These companies we need to support to everyone’s benefit.

Now factor in the necessity for a new regulatory regime for lending institutions, control of the market in land, as well as a more rational approach to planning, sans developers’ interests, and one can see there is a lot of work to be done in a lot of areas before we can come to grips with the property market.

A tinkering here, an intervention there is not going to hack it. What is needed is a systematic reform of all the elements that make up the property market. But among the political parties, and unfortunately this includes the Left, there is neither the stomach or the imagination for such systematic reform.

So, instead we get Fine Gael’s foreigner-bashing, Fianna Fail’s pass-the-blame and as for the Left - well, if someone sees them wandering around the economic turf please let me know. I’d dearly love to know what they’re digging up.

Discussion

We welcome and encourage lively discussion from the public about articles on Irish Left Review. You can leave a comment using the form at the bottom of the page. Please read through the existing comments before posting your own.

No comments so far

Leave a Comment

(required)

(required, will not be published)

Best of the Web

  • DEPARTMENT OF SOCIOLOGY

    SOCIOLOGY LECTURE SERIES 2010

    Prof James Wickham

    Head of School of Social Sciences and Philosophy

    Financial markets and social power - the new inequalities of turbo-capitalism

    Wednesday 10 February 2010

    7.00- 9.30 pm

    Synge lecture theatre, Arts Building, TCD

    A L L   W E L C O M E

    No comments »
  • Kevin Doogan - Not all that is solid | New Humanist

    Analysis of global foreign direct investment patterns also reveals two interesting and counter-intuitive trends. FDI expands during boom periods and contracts during recessions. To blame job losses on capital migration is questionable. Secondly the lion's share of overseas investment goes to the rich rather than poor countries. Between 1980 and 2006 the developed economies' share of global FDI inward stock has grown from 56 per cent to 70 per cent, consolidating their position as the prime target for overseas investment. In other words capital moves abroad to access rich markets rather than exploit cheap labour. This shows that fears of exporting jobs are not related to the actuality of capital relocation but to the threat of jobs going overseas. Research in America, where fears of overseas job loss have a much higher profile than in Europe, shows that companies use the threat of corporate relocation in order to maintain the compliance of trade unions during contract negotiations.

    10 comments »
  • Patrick Cockburn | The Case Against Tony Blair

    The case against Tony Blair has revolved too much around his good faith and too little around his competence. The placards held up by protestors on Friday as he gave evidence should have read “sucker” and “dope” rather than “Bliar”.

    Amateurs have a fluency denied to professionals because they see no “ifs” and “buts” which would interrupt the flow of their argument. Books proving that Bacon wrote Shakespeare are often highly articulate and have great narrative pace because their authors see all facts pointing to the same inevitable conclusion.

    It is this mixture of amateurism and evangelical conviction which made Blair such a lethally inept leader before and during the war in Iraq. His greatest weakness was not so much that he adjusted facts to support his policies, but that he had so little grasp of the facts in the first place.

    1 comment »
  • Victor Grossman | Oskar Lafontaine and the Troubled German Left

    While German politicians stared at the calendar, wondering nervously what the May 9th elections will bring in the biggest state, North Rhine-Westphalia, with its 18 million people, media attention suddenly switched to a personal drama within the party called Die Linke (The Left). A few years ago this party or its predecessors were getting laughed off the political map. But what is happening today in that party could re-draw the whole map.

    No comments »
  • Henry A. Giroux’s tribute to Howard Zinn | Howard Zinn: A Public Intellectual Who Mattered

    "I grew up in Providence, Rhode Island, and rarely met or read any working-class intellectuals. After reading James Baldwin, hearing William Kunstler and Stanley Aronowitz give talks, I caught a glimpse of what it meant to occupy such a fragile, contradictory and often scorned location. But reading Howard gave me the theoretical tools to understand more clearly how the mix of biography, cultural capital and class location could be finely honed into a viable and laudable politics.

    Later, as I got to know Howard personally, I was able to fill in the details about his working-class background and his intellectual development. We had grown up in similar neighborhoods, shared a similar cultural capital and we both probably learned more from the streets than we had ever learned in formal schooling. There was something about Howard's fearlessness, his courage, his willingness to risk not just his academic position, but also his life, that marked him as special."

    No comments »
  • ONE | Drop Haitian Debt

    As Haiti rebuilds from this disaster, please work to secure the immediate cancellation of Haiti’s $1 billion debt and ensure that any emergency earthquake assistance is provided in the form of grants, not debt-incurring loans. Sign the petition.

    No comments »
  • CIA Man Retracts Claim on Waterboarding | Foreign Policy

    John Kiriakou, the former CIA operative who affirmed claims that waterboarding quickly unloosed the tongues of hard-core terrorists, says he didn't know what he was talking about.

    No comments »
  • The Real News | Haiti and the ‘Devil’s Curse’

    Excellent 12 minute news segment from the Real News on Haiti’s history of poverty, which includes a critical examination of how mainstream media is reporting this history without mentioning the impact that various foreign interventions has had on the country.

    According to Peter Hallward, author of Damming the Flood: Haiti, Aristide, and the Politics of Containment Haiti’s poverty can be explained as a series of foreign responses to the independence and strength of the Haitian people, but since the media doesn’t acknowledge this, they are forced to propose weakness and bad luck as the sources of Haiti’s poverty.

    No comments »
  • k-punk: Spectres of revolution

    Mark Fisher, author of Capitalist Realism, is talking about "Revolution" :
    "So let's be clear. I'm very far from saying that nothing can ever change. There has been some discussion of whether Capitalist Realism is a pessimistic book. For me, it isn't pessimistic, but it is negative. The pessimism is already embedded in everyday life - it is what Zizek would call the "spontaneous unreflective ideology" of our times. Identifying the embedded, unreflective pessimism is an act of negativity which, I hope, can make some contribution to denaturalizing that pessimism (which, by its very nature, does not identify itself as such, and is covered over by a compulsory positivity which forbids negativity). Far from nothing ever changing, something already has changed, massively - the bank crisis was an event without a subject, whose implications are yet to be played out. The terrain - the crashed present, littered with the ideological rubble of failed projects - is there to be fought over."

    No comments »
  • UK company law is terrorism’s friend | Prem Sikka | Comment is free | guardian.co.uk

    Over the years, I have conducted many investigations into dubious corporate practices for newspapers, radio and television programmes and the trail always leads to tax havens, which hold no public information about the individuals behind those companies. The registered address is about the only publicly available information. One building in the Cayman Islands, a UK overseas territory, is the registered address of 18,857 corporations. British Virgin Islands, another UK overseas territory, with a population of 23,000 has more than 813,000 registered companies, the highest number per capita in the world. These companies rarely carry out any trade in their locales, but facilitate secrecy to their owners.

    No comments »

Link Archives »