It’s official. The Government’s employment policy is failing. This finding comes from the Government itself, in the form of projections contained in yesterday’s Medium Term Fiscal Framework. The projections are chilling and depressing. Let’s first turn to employment.

In April last year, the Government was somewhat bullish about employment growth; projecting that the numbers at work would grow by 102,000 by 2015. After the launch of the Jobs Initiative and the Action Plan for Jobs, the Government lowered their forecast to 67,000. Yesterday, they lowered their forecast again – to 18,000.
In 2011, there were 1,810,000 people working (this includes full-time and part-time). By 2015, the Government expects this to rise to 1,828,000. After all the Government’s initiatives, IDA job announcements, protestations that jobs remains at the core of public policy – the Government itself admits that net job creation will only be 18,000 by 2015.
Let’s look at the annual projections.

In April last year, the Government expected employment growth to start this year, increasing by 37,000 in 2015 alone. Now, the Government accepts that employment will fall this year (by 22,000) and won’t start growing until 2014. In 2015 alone net job creation will only be 24,000.
This is grim. During the life-time of this government, employment will rise only marginally.
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